Troy
W-L: ( 8- 6) PR = 71.5930Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Nicholls St 38-20 906 A Clemson ACC ( 7- 6, 79.3) 16-27 913 H Memphis AME ( 8- 5, 77.7) 7-28 920 A Buffalo MIDA ( 5- 7, 64.3) 21-17 1004 H So Alabama SUN ( 4- 8, 67.5) 31-24 1011 A Texas State SUN ( 5- 8, 71.5) 48-41 1018 A La-Monroe SUN ( 3- 9, 63.5) 37-14 1025 H Louisiana SUN ( 7- 5, 69.5) 35-23 1101 H Arkansas State SUN ( 7- 6, 69.9) 10-23 1113 A Old Dominion SUN (10- 3, 81.6) 0-33 1122 H Georgia St SUN ( 1-11, 59.4) 31-19 1129 A So Miss SUN ( 6- 7, 68.2) 28-18 1205 A J Madison SUN (12- 2, 84.2) 14-31 1216 N Jacksonv. St CUSA (10- 5, 72.7) 13-17
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 A Clemson 16-27 -11 -13 1.97
913 H Memphis 7-28 -21 -1 --- -13.16
920 A Buffalo 21-17 4 2 1.98
1004 H So Alabama 31-24 7 9 - -2.38
1011 A Texas State 48-41 7 -5 +++ 12.13
1018 A La-Monroe 37-14 23 3 +++ 11.14
1025 H Louisiana 35-23 12 7 ++ 4.69
1101 H Arkansas State 10-23 -13 7 --- -19.94
1113 A Old Dominion 0-33 -33 -15 0.00
1122 H Georgia St 31-19 12 17 - -2.00
1129 A So Miss 28-18 10 -2 +++ 11.87
1205 A J Madison 14-31 -17 -18 0.00
1216 N Jacksonv. St 13-17 -4 -1 - -2.86
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 913 H Memphis 7-28 -21 -1 --- -13.16 1101 H Arkansas State 10-23 -13 7 --- -19.94 1004 H So Alabama 31-24 7 9 - -2.38 1122 H Georgia St 31-19 12 17 - -2.00 1216 N Jacksonv. St 13-17 -4 -1 - -2.86 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1011 A Texas State 48-41 7 -5 +++ 12.13 1018 A La-Monroe 37-14 23 3 +++ 11.14 1129 A So Miss 28-18 10 -2 +++ 11.87 1025 H Louisiana 35-23 12 7 ++ 4.69 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Clemson ( 7- 6, 79.3) 16-27 -20.59 30.63 5.26 0.98 -7.52
3 H Memphis ( 8- 5, 77.7) 7-28 -22.20 29.02 -5.26 0.98 -13.47
3 A Buffalo ( 5- 7, 64.3) 21-17 -35.58 15.64 5.26 0.98 40.99
3 H So Alabama ( 4- 8, 67.5) 31-24 -32.42 18.80 -5.26 0.98 26.55
3 A Texas State ( 5- 8, 71.5) 48-41 -28.44 22.78 5.26 0.98 55.01
3 A La-Monroe ( 3- 9, 63.5) 37-14 -36.43 14.79 5.26 0.98 39.34
3 H Louisiana ( 7- 5, 69.5) 35-23 -30.35 20.87 -5.26 0.98 30.61
3 H Arkansas State ( 7- 6, 69.9) 10-23 -29.99 21.23 -5.26 0.98 -17.28
3 A Old Dominion (10- 3, 81.6) 0-33 -18.33 32.89 5.26 0.98 -6.41
3 H Georgia St ( 1-11, 59.4) 31-19 -40.50 10.71 -5.26 0.98 10.70
3 A So Miss ( 6- 7, 68.2) 28-18 -31.70 19.52 5.26 0.98 48.61
3 A J Madison (12- 2, 84.2) 14-31 -15.74 35.48 5.26 0.98 -5.14
3 N Jacksonv. St (10- 5, 72.7) 13-17 -27.17 24.05 -0.00 0.98 -13.32
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188.66
|
winning pts = 251.8041 losing points = -63.1428
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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